This page presents a list of published material (can also be found on google scholar).

Abstract overview of linked published material can be found here:

• WORLD 6 papers within the IceSD center.
• Biomass and biofuel considerations
• Construction industry
• Group model building
• Food Supply chains

Journal articles

Olafsdottir, A. H. ., & Sverdrup, H. U. (2021). Modelling global nickel mining, supply, recycling, stocks-in-use and price under different resource and demand assumptions for 1850-2200. Mining, Metallurgy & Exploration, 1–22. https://doi.org/10.1007/s42461-020-00370-y LINK

Sverdrup, H. U., & Olafsdottir, A. H. (2020). System Dynamics Modelling of the Global Extraction, Supply, Price, Reserves, Resources and Environmental Losses of Mercury. Water, Air, & Soil Pollution, 231(8), 439. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11270-020-04757-x LINK

Olafsdottir, A.H., Sverdrup, H.U. Assessing the Past and Future Sustainability of Global Helium Resources, Extraction, Supply and Use, Using the Integrated Assessment Model WORLD7. Biophys Econ Sust 5, 6 (2020). https://doi.org/10.1007/s41247-020-00072-5 Link

Sverdrup HU, Olafsdottir AH, Ragnarsdottir KV, On the long-term sustainability of copper, zinc and lead supply, using a system dynamics model, Resources, Conservation and Recycling: X (2019), https://doi.org/10.1016/j.rcrx.2019.100007 LINKa LINKb

Sverdrup, H., & Olafsdottir, A. H. (2019). Assessing the Long‑Term Global Sustainability of the Production and Supply for Stainless Steel. BioPhysical Economics and Resource Quality, 4(8) pages 29. doi:10.1007/s41247-019-0056-9 LINK

Sverdrup, H., & Olafsdottir, A. H. (2019). Conceptualization and parameterization of the market price mechanism in the WORLD6 model for metals, materials and fossil fuels. Mineral Economics, 31. doi:10.1007/s13563-019-00182-7 . LINK

Olafsdottir, A. H., & Sverdrup, H. U. (2019). Defining a conceptual model for market mechanisms in food supply chains, and parameterizing price functions for coffee, wheat, corn, soybeans and beef. International Journal on food system dynamics, 10(2). doi:https://doi.org/10.18461/ijfsd.v10i2.14 LINK

Olafsdottir, A. H., Sverdrup, H. U., & Ragnarsdottir, K. V. (2019). On the Metal Contents of Ocean Floor Nodules, Crusts and Massive Sulphides and a Preliminary Assessment of the Extractable Amounts. In C. Ludwig & S. Valdivia (Eds.), Progress towards the Resource Revolution (pp. 150-156). St. Gallen, Switzerland Villigen PSI and World Resources Forum. LINK

Olafsdottir, A. H., Sverdrup, H., Stefansson, G., & Ingason, H. T. (2019). Using System Dynamics to better understand quality management in the construction industry Int. J. Productivity and Quality Management, 26(2). doi:10.1504/IJPQM.2019.10016831 LINK

Sverdrup, H. U., Olafsdottir, A. H., Ragnarsdottir, K. V., Koca, D., & Lorenz, U. (2019). The WORLD6 Integrated System Dynamics Model: Examples of Results from Simulations. In C. Ludwig & S. Valdivia (Eds.), Progress towards the Resource Revolution (pp. 67-78). St. Gallen, Switzerland Villigen PSI and World Resources Forum. LINK

Sverdrup, H. U., Olafsdottir, A. H., & Schlyter, P. (2019). A System Dynamics Assessment of the Supply of Superalloys using WORLD6; Sufficiency for Civilian and Military Aviation Needs. In C. Ludwig & S. Valdivia (Eds.), Progress towards the Resource Revolution (pp. 90-96). St. Gallen, Switzerland Villigen PSI and World Resources Forum. LINK

Olafsdottir, A. H., Gudbrandsdottir, I., Sverdrup, H. U., Bogason, S. G., Olafsdottir, G., & Stefansson, G. (2018). System Dynamics Modelling and System Analysis Applied in Complex Research Projects - the Case of VALUMICS. Int. J. Food System Dynamics, 9(5), 409-418. doi:http://dx.doi.org/10.18461/ijfsd.v9i5.953 LINK

Olofsdottir, A.H., and Sverdrup, H., (2018). Modelling global mining, secondary extraction, supply, stocks-in-society, recycling, market price and resources, using the WORLD6 model; Tin. Biophysical Economics and Resource Quality. 3: 11. https://doi.org/10.1007/s41247-018-0041-8. LINK

Sverdrup, H., and Olafsdottir, A.H, (2018). A system dynamics model assessment of the supply of niobium and tantalum using the WORLD6 model. Biophysical Economics and Resource Quality. 3: 5. https://doi.org/10.1007/s41247-018-0038-3. LINK

Olofsdottir, A.H., and Sverdrup, H., Ragnarsdottir, V., Koca, D. (2018). A System Dynamics Assessment of the Supply of Molybdenum and Rhenium Used for Super-alloys and Specialty Steels, Using the WORLD6 Model. Biophysical Economics and Resource Quality. doi. 10.1007/s41247-018-0040-9. LINK

Sverdrup, H., and Olafsdottir, A.H, (2017). Considerations on the future biomass production potential of Iceland, and what role that could have in future fuel supply and carbon balances. Journal of Sustainable forestry. Vol. 36. No. 7, pp: 647-665. LINK

Sverdrup, H.U., Olafsdottir, A.H. & Ragnarsdottir, K.V. (2017). Modelling Global Wolfram Mining, Secondary Extraction, Supply, Stocks-in-Society, Recycling, Market Price and Resources, Using the WORLD6 System Dynamics Model. Biophysical Economics and Resource Quality. 2:11. https://doi.org/10.1007/s41247-017-0028-x LINK

Olafsdottir, A. H., Stefansson, G., Ingason, H. T. (2017). The value of Group Model Building: A stakeholder perspective. International Journal of Productivity and Quality Management, Vol. 20, No., pp 99-115. LINK

Olafsdottir, A. H., Ingason, H. T., & Stefansson, G. (2016). Defining the variables for a dynamic model of quality management in the construction industry. Results from Stakeholder Group Model-Building sessions. International Journal of Productivity and Quality Management, in press, Vol. 19 No. 2, pp. 187-208. LINK

Olafsdottir, A. H. and Ingason, H. T. (2014). Áhrif gæðastjórnunar á mannvirkjagerð, (Eng. Quality management in the construction industry) Verktækni, Tímarit VFÍ/TFÍ, Vol. 1, No. 20, pp. 24-29. (In Icelandic). LINK

 

Book

Sverdrup, Harald Ulrik; Lorenz, Ullrich; Olafsdottir, A. H. (2020). The world at the ultimate crossroads: climate change, environmental impacts, population, natural resources sufficiency in the long perspective with integrated models. In H. Lehmann (Ed.), Sustainable Development and Resource Productivity: The Nexus Approach. Routledge. ISBN 978-0367-4295-4-6

Olafsdottir, Anna Hulda; Oddson, Guðmundur Valur. 2020. Inngangur að gæðastjórnun. Háskolaprent Reykjavik. Útgáfa 1. ISBN 978-9935-24-762-1

Oddsson, Guðmundur Valur; Rúnarsson, Tómas Philip; Ólafsdóttir, Anna Hulda; Sigurpálsson, Ásgeir Örn. 2019. Inngangur að hermun. Háskolaprent Reykjavik. Útgáfa 1. ISBN 978-9935-9477-3-4

Sverdrup H. (Ed.), Haraldsson, H., Olafsdottir, A.H., Belyazid, S. Svensson, M., 2019 System Thinking, System Analysis and System Dynamics: Find out how the world works and then simulate what would happen.  3^rd revised edition. Háskolaprent Reykjavik. 310pp. ISBN 978-9935-24-425-3. LINK

 

Reports/Deliverables

 

Proceedings, presentations, posters

How large is the global population when limited by long term sustainable global metal-, energy- and phosphate supply?, by Harald Ulrik Sverdrup, Anna Olafsdottir (presenting author), Deniz Koca,). The 2020 Conference of the System Dynamics Society, July 20-24, 2020 LINK

Assessing with the WORLD6 Model, the Global Energy Use, CO2 Emissions and Water Use of Metals, Materials and Fossil Fuels Extraction and Production. by Harald Ulrik Sverdrup (presenting author), Anna Hulda Olafsdottir. © 2019 World Resources Forum. Meeting report LINK, SLIDES 

The WORLD6 global integrated assessment model: Linking natural resources, population, energy, pollution, climate change, recycling, trade, health, society, governance and the economy into one structure. by Anna Hulda Olafsdottir (presenting author), Harald Ulrik Sverdrup. © 2019 World Resources Forum. Meeting report LINK,  SLIDES

Assessing future supply of technology metals of Bi, Cd, Ge, Ga, In, Sb, Se and Te for new technologies using the WORLD6 model. by: Harald Ulrik Sverdrup (presenting author), Anna Hulda Olafsdottir. © 2019 World Resources Forum. LINK

Olafsdottir, Anna Hulda; Gudbrandsdottir, Ingunn; Sverdrup, Harald U.; Olafsdottir, Gudrun; Bogason, Sigurdur G.; On modelling the price of beef and salmon using a fully dynamic approach. (2018). The 36nd International Conference of the System Dynamics Society, System Dynamics Society, Reykjavik. Iceland. LINK

Sverdrup, Harald Ulrik; Olafsdottir, Anna Hulda; Ragnarsdottir, Kristín Vala; Koca, Deniz. Developing the WORLD6 integrated global model; causally linking natural resource use, population, energy, commodities, health, governance and the economy. (2018). The 36nd International Conference of the System Dynamics Society, System Dynamics Society, Reykjavik. Iceland. LINK

Olafsdottir, Anna Hulda; Gudbrandsdottir, Ingunn; Sverdrup, Harald U.; Bogason, Sigurdur G.; Olafsdottir, Gudrun; Stefansson. Applying System Analysis and System Dynamics Modelling In Complex Research Projects - The Case Of VALUMICS. Proceedings in System Dynamics and Innovation in Food Networks (2018). LINK

Gudbrandsdottir, Ingunn; Olafsdottir, Anna Hulda; Sverdrup, Harald U.; Bogason, Sigurdur G.; Olafsdottir, Gudrun; Stefansson. Modeling of Integrated Supply-, Value- and Decision Chains within Food Systems. Proceedings in System Dynamics and Innovation in Food Networks (2018). LINK

Olafsdottir, Anna; Sverdrup, Harald; Ragnarsdottir, Kristin Vala. On the metal contents of ocean floor nodules, crusts and massive sulphides and a preliminary assessment of the extractable amounts. (2017). World resources Forum 2017.  LINK

Schlyter, Peter; Sverdrup, Harald; Olafsdottir, Anna; Ragnarsdottir, Kristin Vala. A system dynamics assessment of supply sufficiency for aerospace technology needs using WORLD6. (2017).. World Resources Forum 2017. LINK

Ragnarsdottir, Kristin Vala; Sverdrup, Harald; Ólafsdóttir, Anna; Koca, Deniz. Time of scarcity horizons for technology metals, precious metals, base metals, superalloy metals, battery technology metals and infrastructure materials. (2017). World Resources Forum 2107. LINK

Olafsdottir, A. H., Ingason, H. T. and Stefansson, G. (2014). The value of Stakeholder Group Model-Building when facing a System Dynamics problem - A qualitative research about a methodological approach to form a CLD. The 32nd International Conference of the System Dynamics Society, System Dynamics Society, Delft, Netherlands. LINK

Olafsdottir, A. H., et al. (2013). Poster: Active use of quality management system in the construction industry. the 31st International Conference of the System Dynamics Society, 2013 Cambridge, Massachusetts USA.

Olafsdottir, A. H., et al. (2012). Active use of quality management system (QMS) in the construction industry. the 30th International Conference of the System Dynamics Society, St. Gallen, Switzerland, System Dynamic Society.

 

Thesis

Olafsdottir, A. H. (2011). Áhrif gæðastjórnunar á mannvirkjagerð. Industrial Engineering, Mechanical Engineering and Computer science. Iceland, University og Iceland. M.Sc.

Olafsdottir, A. H. (2016). A System Dynamics Approach to Quality Management in the Construction Industry. Faculty of Industrial Engineering, Mechanical Engineering and Computer Science. Háskólaprent, Reykjavík, Iceland, University of Iceland. Philosophiae Doctor.